All matches

Bodo/Glimt — Borussia Dortmund, UEFA Champions League

Europe, UEFA Champions League

Bodo/Glimt
4.0LLWWW
—
Borussia Dortmund
3.4WWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%26%34%
Bodo/Glimt40%Draw26%Borussia Dortmund34%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Bodo/Glimt40%2.50—
XDraw26%3.83—
2Borussia Dortmund34%2.95—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.71

No42%

ours 2.40

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBodo/GlimtBorussia DortmundCombined
Goals scored1.172.003.17
Conceded1.670.672.34
Corners10.010.210.1
Cards1.02.23.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Bodo/GlimtBorussia Dortmund

FK Bodo - Glimt 40%, BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

FK Bodo - Glimt 40%Draw 26%BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund 34%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Bodo/Glimt

  • awayBrann1:2
  • awayBayern Munich0:5
  • awayFredrikstad2:1
  • homeRosenborg4:2
  • homeNEC Nijmegen3:0

Borussia Dortmund

  • awayStuttgart1:0
  • homePaderborn3:0
  • homeVillarreal3:2
  • awayHoffenheim3:2
  • homeHamburger SV2:0

Head to head

  • 12/10/25UEFA Champions League2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Hapoel Be'er Sheva640210:812
6Dinamo Zagreb632114:911
7Bodo/Glimt531112:1110
8Avan Academy63039:89
9Kairat63035:49
10Kauno Zalgiris62226:108
11AEK Athens32105:07
12Universitatea Craiova42117:47
13KI Klaksvik42114:37
14Vikingur Reykjavik42115:57
15Red Star Belgrade42029:36
16Egnatia413012:76
17Sturm Graz42026:36
18Shamrock Rovers42027:66
19Celje613210:106
20AGF Aarhus42027:106
21Larne42023:106
22Iberia 199941216:75
23Lincoln Red Imps41214:55
24Lyon41126:54
25Viking31116:64
26Mjallby41124:44
27NEC Nijmegen41123:74
28PSG11006:13
29Bayern Munich11005:03
30Barcelona11005:13
31Manchester United11004:03
32Como11004:13
33Stuttgart11003:13
34Sporting CP11003:13
35Manchester City11002:03
36Real Betis11003:23
37Lens11003:23
38Aston Villa11003:23
39Borussia Dortmund11003:23
40Liverpool11002:13
41Real Madrid11002:13

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.