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Bayern Munich 7:0 Union Berlin, Bundesliga: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Germany, BundesligaMatch finished

7:0HT 3:0
1.5DDDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
90%
Bayern MunichPrice 1.0690%DrawPrice 20.007%Union BerlinPrice 50.003%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

3.29xG0.45
68Possession, %32
23Shots3
15Shots on target2
9Corners2
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
12Fouls9
2Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 88 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Bayern Munich90%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.583%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes51%

    Actual: No — we had 49%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Bayern Munich90%94%1.111.06-4.4
XDraw7%4%13.8520.00+2.9
2Union Berlin3%2%32.4750.00+1.4

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Bayern Munich

  • homeBorussia Dortmund2:2
  • awayFreiburg3:1
  • homeArsenal2:2
  • homeRB Leipzig6:1
  • awayViking3:3

Union Berlin

  • homeKoln1:1
  • awayAugsburg1:1
  • homeBorussia Dortmund0:0
  • homeElversberg1:0
  • awayBayern Munich0:7

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Bundesliga7:0
  • 03/21/26Bundesliga4:0
  • 11/08/25Bundesliga2:2
  • 03/15/25Bundesliga1:1
  • 11/02/24Bundesliga3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Bayern Munich853027:818
3Freiburg851218:1016
4RB Leipzig850322:1115
5Werder Bremen843117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen841318:1613
7Elversberg841316:1613
9Mainz 05831417:1710
10Augsburg823318:159
11Stuttgart830514:159
12Hoffenheim830514:169
13Koln82339:129
14Paderborn82336:99
15Hamburger SV83057:199
16Union Berlin81437:197
17Schalke 0481344:96

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.