Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.03
No51%
ours 1.97
All matches
Arges Pitesti — FCSB, Liga I
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
31%29%40%
Arges Pitesti31%Draw29%FCSB40%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Arges Pitesti3.21—
XDraw3.50—
2FCSB2.49—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Arges PitestiFCSB
FC Argeș Pitești 31%, SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.
FC Argeș Pitești 31%Draw 29%SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA 40%
1st half
26 · 41 · 34
2nd half
32 · 38 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Over 23.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricArges PitestiFCSBCombined
Goals scored0.801.802.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Arges Pitesti- Winless in 9 matches0:1, 2:2, 0:1, 1:3, 1:1
- Winless at home in 5 matches0:1, 0:1, 1:1, 0:1, 1:1
- Fewest shots on target in the league — 3.2 per match16 teams in the league
FCSB- 3 wins in a row4:1, 2:1, 1:0, 0:5, 2:2
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- 2nd in the league for shots on target — 6.2 per match16 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Arges Pitesti
- homeUTA Arad0:1
- awayU Cluj2:2
- homeCFR Cluj0:1
- awayRapid Bucuresti1:3
- homeBotosani1:1
FCSB
- homeRapid Bucuresti4:1
- awayVoluntari2:1
- homeOtelul Galati1:0
- awayUniversitatea Craiova0:5
- homeACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti2:2
Head to head
- 07/17/26Liga I0:2
- 01/16/26Liga I1:0
- 08/24/25Liga I2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Romania, Liga I: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.