All matches

Otelul Galati — Sepsi OSK, Liga I

Romania, Liga I

Otelul Galati
1.8LLLDW
—
Sepsi OSK
1.7LWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
51%26%23%
Otelul Galati51%Draw26%Sepsi OSK23%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Otelul Galati51%1.98—
XDraw26%3.80—
2Sepsi OSK23%4.33—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.86

No46%

ours 2.16

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricOtelul GalatiSepsi OSKCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners10.710.710.7
Cards3.31.34.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Otelul GalatiSepsi OSK

FC Oţelul Galaţi 51%, Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe 23%. The safest is “FC Oţelul Galaţi or draw” at 77%.

FC Oţelul Galaţi 51%Draw 26%Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe 23%
1st half
43 · 38 · 19
2nd half
32 · 42 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Otelul Galati

  • homeCorvinul2:3
  • awayU Cluj0:3
  • homeRapid Bucuresti0:1
  • awayVoluntari2:2
  • homeArges Pitesti1:0

Sepsi OSK

  • awayUTA Arad0:1
  • homeCFR Cluj3:1
  • awayBotosani0:5
  • awayArges Pitesti1:0
  • homeFarul Constanta1:1

Head to head

  • 04/25/25Liga I3:0
  • 01/26/25Liga I0:2
  • 08/30/24Liga I2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Corvinul1034311:913
8CFR Cluj941415:1413
9Sepsi OSK103437:1013
10UTA Arad1033414:1512
11FCSB1033413:1712
12Botosani1025314:1211
13Arges Pitesti103256:1011
14Otelul Galati1024411:1510
15Voluntari102269:228
16Csikszereda100196:231

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.