ACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti — CFR Cluj, Liga I

Romania, Liga IOctober 31 at 12:00 AM

ACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti

1.8WDWWL

—

CFR Cluj

2.8WLDWW

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability

34%26%40%

ACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti34%Draw26%CFR Cluj40%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ

1ACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti34%2.93—

XDraw26%3.84—

2CFR Cluj40%2.51—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.74

No43%

ours 2.35

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricACS Petrolul 52 PloiestiCFR ClujCombined

Goals scored1.000.671.67

Conceded0.330.671.00

Corners8.77.07.8

Cards2.31.03.3

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

Shots

Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ACS Petrolul 52 PloiestiCFR Cluj

ACS Petrolul 52 Ploieşti 34%, SCS CFR 1907 Cluj 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

ACS Petrolul 52 Ploieşti 34%Draw 26%SCS CFR 1907 Cluj 40%

1st half

31 · 39 · 30

2nd half

29 · 39 · 31

Both teams to score?

How many goals?

How many corners?

How many yellow cards?

How many shots?

How many fouls?

How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price

Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%

High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context