All matches

Corvinul — Arges Pitesti, Liga I

Romania, Liga I

Corvinul
1.7WLLDD
—
Arges Pitesti
1.9LDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%27%25%
Corvinul48%Draw27%Arges Pitesti25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Corvinul48%2.08—
XDraw27%3.69—
2Arges Pitesti25%4.01—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.93

No48%

ours 2.08

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCorvinulArges PitestiCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.830.831.66
Corners12.711.011.8
Cards4.32.36.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

CorvinulArges Pitesti

FC Corvinul Hunedoara 48%, FC Argeș Pitești 25%. The safest is “FC Corvinul Hunedoara or draw” at 75%.

FC Corvinul Hunedoara 48%Draw 27%FC Argeș Pitești 25%
1st half
38 · 43 · 19
2nd half
34 · 40 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Corvinul

  • awayOtelul Galati3:2
  • homeUniversitatea Craiova0:1
  • awayACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti0:2
  • homeDinamo Bucharest1:1
  • awayUTA Arad0:0

Arges Pitesti

  • awayRapid Bucuresti1:3
  • homeBotosani1:1
  • awayVoluntari0:1
  • homeSepsi OSK0:1
  • awayOtelul Galati0:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5U Cluj950414:1315
6Farul Constanta1035214:1414
7Corvinul1034311:913
8CFR Cluj941415:1413
9Sepsi OSK103437:1013
10UTA Arad1033414:1512
11FCSB1033413:1712
12Botosani1025314:1211
13Arges Pitesti103256:1011
14Otelul Galati1024411:1510
15Voluntari102269:228

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.