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Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 Freiburg, Bundesliga: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Germany, BundesligaMatch finished

2:2HT 2:1
2.2WLLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
46%23%31%
Eintracht FrankfurtPrice 2.6246%DrawPrice 3.8023%FreiburgPrice 2.7031%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.01xG2.05
42Possession, %58
10Shots22
3Shots on target7
3Corners5
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
12Fouls11
1Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 81 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Eintracht Frankfurt46%

    Actual: Draw — we had 23%

  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.571%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes71%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Eintracht Frankfurt46%38%2.162.62+8.6
XDraw23%26%4.443.80-3.3
2Freiburg31%37%3.202.70-5.3

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Eintracht Frankfurt

  • homeHamburger SV3:1
  • awayBorussia Dortmund0:1
  • homeKoln1:0
  • awayRB Leipzig0:6
  • homeFreiburg2:2

Freiburg

  • awayAugsburg2:1
  • homeBayern Munich1:3
  • awayMonaco0:3
  • awayBayer Leverkusen1:2
  • homeJablonec3:2

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Bundesliga2:2
  • 03/01/26Bundesliga2:0
  • 10/19/25Bundesliga2:2
  • 05/17/25Bundesliga3:1
  • 01/14/25Bundesliga4:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Bayern Munich853027:818
3Freiburg851218:1016
4RB Leipzig850322:1115
5Werder Bremen843117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen841318:1613
7Elversberg841316:1613
9Mainz 05831417:1710
10Augsburg823318:159

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.