Rayo Zuliano 1:1 Monagas, Primera División: result, stats and how the prediction went
Result and how the prediction went
Venezuela, Primera DivisiónMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedRayo Zuliano39%
Actual: Draw — we had 25%
- Total goals MissedOver 2.560%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 40%
- Both teams to score LandedYes63%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Rayo Zuliano
- homeCaracas1:2
- awayMetropolitanos0:4
- homeMonagas1:1
- awayTrujillanos4:2
- homePortuguesa2:0
Monagas
- awayCaracas3:2
- awayDeportivo Tachira0:2
- homeAcademia Puerto Cabello1:2
- awayAcademia Puerto Cabello3:3
- homeEstudiantes de Merida2:1
Head to head
- 09/19/26Primera División1:1
- 04/11/26Primera División0:3
- 09/20/25Primera División3:1
- 04/10/25Primera División2:3
- 09/04/24Primera División1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Venezuela, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.