Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.94
No49%
ours 2.06
All matches
CS Sfaxien — Esperance de Tunis, Ligue 1
Tunisia, Ligue 1
CS Sfaxien
2.9LWDWD
Esperance de Tunis
3.1WWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
33%28%38%
CS Sfaxien33%Draw28%Esperance de Tunis38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CS Sfaxien3.01—
XDraw3.52—
2Esperance de Tunis2.61—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2721 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2715 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2706 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CS SfaxienEsperance de Tunis
CS Sfaxien 33%, Espérance Sportive de Tunis 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 69%.
CS Sfaxien 33%Draw 28%Espérance Sportive de Tunis 38%
1st half
27 · 37 · 35
2nd half
20 · 49 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCS SfaxienEsperance de TunisCombined
Goals scored1.202.003.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
CS Sfaxien- Unbeaten at home in 7 matches2:0, 2:1, 3:1, 2:0, 1:0
- Led at half-time in 8 of 10 matches
- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Esperance de Tunis- 3 wins in a row3:1, 1:0, 2:1, 1:3, 3:2
- 10 goals in the last 5 matches3:1, 1:0, 2:1, 1:3, 3:2
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
CS Sfaxien
- awayPS Sakiet Eddaier0:1
- homeCA Bizertin2:0
- awayUS Ben Guerdane1:1
- homeES Zarzis2:1
- awayStade Tunisien1:1
Esperance de Tunis
- homeOlympique Beja3:1
- awayCS Hammam-Lif1:0
- homeAS Marsa2:1
- awayJS Omrane1:3
- homeEtoile du Sahel3:2
Head to head
- 04/30/26Ligue 10:0
- 11/02/25Ligue 11:2
- 05/03/25Ligue 10:1
- 12/29/24Ligue 10:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
US Ben Guerdane642011:614
US Ben Guerdane642011:6142
Esperance de Tunis540110:712
Esperance de Tunis540110:7123
US Monastir63308:512
US Monastir63308:5124
PS Sakiet Eddaier63215:211
PS Sakiet Eddaier63215:2115
Club Africain43014:29
Club Africain43014:296
JS Omrane62316:59
JS Omrane62316:597
CS Sfaxien52216:48
CS Sfaxien52216:488
AS Marsa62225:38
AS Marsa62225:389
CA Bizertin52213:38
CA Bizertin52213:38Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.