Both teams to score
Yes40%
ours 2.52
No60%
ours 1.66
All matches
CS Hammam-Lif — ES Hammam-Sousse, Ligue 1
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%32%19%
CS Hammam-Lif49%Draw32%ES Hammam-Sousse19%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CS Hammam-Lif2.04—
XDraw3.14—
2ES Hammam-Sousse5.25—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CS Hammam-LifES Hammam-Sousse
CS Hammam-Lif 49%, Espoir Sportif de Hammam-Sousse 19%. The safest is “CS Hammam-Lif or draw” at 81%.
CS Hammam-Lif 49%Draw 32%Espoir Sportif de Hammam-Sousse 19%
1st half
35 · 46 · 19
2nd half
34 · 49 · 17
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
68%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCS Hammam-LifES Hammam-SousseCombined
Goals scored0.600.401.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
CS Hammam-Lif- Fewest shots on target in the league — 1.6 per match11 teams in the league
- One win in the last 5 matches1:1, 1:1, 1:0, 0:1, 0:1
- 2 goals or fewer in 5 of the last 5
ES Hammam-Sousse- 6 defeats in a row1:3, 0:2, 0:2, 1:3, 0:1
- Winless away in 4 matches1:3, 0:2, 0:1, 0:1
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
CS Hammam-Lif
- awayAS Marsa1:1
- homeJS Omrane1:1
- awayEtoile du Sahel1:0
- awayUS Ben Guerdane0:1
- homeEsperance de Tunis0:1
ES Hammam-Sousse
- awayCA Bizertin1:3
- homeUS Ben Guerdane0:2
- awayES Zarzis0:2
- homeStade Tunisien1:3
- awayES Metlaoui0:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Tunisia, Ligue 1: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.