All matches

Club Africain — CA Bizertin, Ligue 1

Tunisia, Ligue 1

Club Africain
3.0LWWWD
  
CA Bizertin
1.7WDLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
72%20%
Club Africain72%Draw20%CA Bizertin8%

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Club Africain72%1.39—
XDraw20%4.91—
2CA Bizertin8%12.71—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes46%

ours 2.17

No54%

ours 1.85

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2776 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2768 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2759 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Club AfricainCA Bizertin

Club Africain 72%, CA Bizertin 8%. The safest is “Club Africain or draw” at 93%.

Club Africain 72%Draw 20%CA Bizertin 8%
1st half
46 · 41 · 13
2nd half
40 · 45 · 15
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Match result: Home

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricClub AfricainCA BizertinCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Club Africain
  • Unbeaten at home in 8 matches1:0, 1:0, 1:1, 2:0, 2:0
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:2, 1:0, 1:0, 1:0, 1:1
  • 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
CA Bizertin
  • Most shots in the league — 15.5 per match11 teams in the league
  • 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Club Africain

  • awayUS Ben Guerdane1:2
  • homeES Zarzis1:0
  • homeES Hammam-Sousse1:0
  • awayES Metlaoui1:0
  • homeOlympique Beja1:1

CA Bizertin

  • homeES Hammam-Sousse3:1
  • homeUS Monastir0:0
  • awayCS Sfaxien0:2
  • homeOlympique Beja1:1
  • awayCS Hammam-Lif1:0

Head to head

  • 01/31/26Ligue 11:0
  • 08/27/25Ligue 10:0
  • 05/04/25Ligue 10:1
  • 12/28/24Ligue 11:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3US Monastir63308:512
4PS Sakiet Eddaier63215:211
5CA Bizertin63216:411
6JS Omrane72416:510
7AS Marsa72326:49
8Club Africain43014:29
9CS Sfaxien52216:48
10Stade Tunisien52127:67

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.