Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.06
No51%
ours 1.95
All matches
Stade Tunisien — ES Zarzis, Ligue 1
Tunisia, Ligue 1
Stade Tunisien
2.5WWLDW
ES Zarzis
2.0WLLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
60%25%15%
Stade Tunisien60%Draw25%ES Zarzis15%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Stade Tunisien1.67—
XDraw3.99—
2ES Zarzis6.71—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
This market opens with Premium.
Over 9.5 corners
This market opens with Premium.
Goals and corners — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2721 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2715 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2706 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Stade TunisienES Zarzis
Stade Tunisien 60%, ES Zarzis 15%. The safest is “Stade Tunisien or draw” at 86%.
Stade Tunisien 60%Draw 25%ES Zarzis 15%
1st half
44 · 38 · 18
2nd half
38 · 48 · 14
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricStade TunisienES ZarzisCombined
Goals scored1.601.002.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Stade Tunisien- Winless at home in 5 matches1:1, 0:0, 1:2, 1:1, 1:1
- Never led at half-time in the last 10 matches
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 52:1, 3:1, 1:2, 1:1, 1:0
ES Zarzis- 3 draws in the last 4 head-to-head meetings0:0, 0:3, 1:1, 1:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Stade Tunisien
- awayES Metlaoui2:1
- awayES Hammam-Sousse3:1
- awayUS Monastir1:2
- homeCS Sfaxien1:1
- awayAS de Gabès1:0
ES Zarzis
- homeES Hammam-Sousse2:0
- awayClub Africain0:1
- homeUS Monastir1:2
- awayCS Sfaxien1:2
- homeOlympique Beja1:0
Head to head
- 04/04/26Ligue 10:0
- 10/04/25Ligue 13:0
- 01/19/25Ligue 11:1
- 09/01/24Ligue 11:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
AS Marsa62225:38
AS Marsa62225:389
CA Bizertin52213:38
CA Bizertin52213:3810
Stade Tunisien42117:57
Stade Tunisien42117:5711
Etoile du Sahel62137:87
Etoile du Sahel62137:8712
ES Zarzis52035:56
ES Zarzis52035:5613
CS Hammam-Lif61142:54
CS Hammam-Lif61142:5414
ES Metlaoui61053:93
ES Metlaoui61053:93Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.