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Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest: result 1:0

Wales, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 1:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Colwyn Bay 57%, draw 24%, Haverfordwest 18%.

2.5WDWLW
1:0HT 0:0
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
57%24%18%
Colwyn BayPrice 1.4557%DrawPrice 4.0524%HaverfordwestPrice 5.9018%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.56xG0.55
68Possession, %32
13Shots5
4Shots on target0
8Corners1
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
11Fouls5

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 126 of 162void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Colwyn Bay57%
  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.566%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No61%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Colwyn Bay57%66%1.751.45-8.6
XDraw24%21%4.104.05+3.7
2Haverfordwest18%14%5.435.90+4.9

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Colwyn Bay

  • homeCambrian & Clydach Vale2:0
  • homeCardiff Metropolitan University2:2
  • awayFlint Town United1:0
  • awayBriton Ferry Llansawel0:1
  • homeHaverfordwest1:0

Haverfordwest

  • awayAmmanford1:0
  • awayBarry Town United3:1
  • homeCaernarfon Town1:2
  • homeFlint Town United0:1
  • awayCardiff Metropolitan University0:1

Head to head

  • 09/26/26Premier League1:0
  • 11/15/25Premier League0:1
  • 09/13/25Premier League3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Penybont14103130:1133
4Caernarfon Town1592442:1929
5Colwyn Bay1592426:1729
6Barry Town United1591532:2628
7Airbus UK1590631:2227
10Llandudno1551922:2816
11Haverfordwest1551912:2016
13Flint Town United1542919:2514

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.