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Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town United: result 5:2

Wales, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 5:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Barry Town United 35%, Colwyn Bay 34%, draw 31%.

2.5WDWLW
5:2HT 1:2
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
34%31%35%
Colwyn BayPrice 2.1234%DrawPrice 3.1831%Barry Town UnitedPrice 3.1435%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.04xG0.88
57Possession, %43
17Shots7
9Shots on target3
6Corners0
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
10Fouls5
1Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 56 of 100
  • Match result Missed
    Barry Town United35%

    Actual: Colwyn Bay — we had 34%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.559%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 41%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No51%

    Actual: Yes — we had 49%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Colwyn Bay34%44%2.932.12-9.6
XDraw31%28%3.193.18+3.4
2Barry Town United35%28%2.893.14+6.2

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Colwyn Bay

  • homeCambrian & Clydach Vale2:0
  • homeCardiff Metropolitan University2:2
  • awayFlint Town United1:0
  • awayBriton Ferry Llansawel0:1
  • homeHaverfordwest1:0

Barry Town United

  • homeTrefelin3:0
  • homeHaverfordwest1:3
  • awayPenybont1:3
  • awayCaernarfon Town1:0
  • homeConnah's Quay1:4

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Premier League5:2
  • 03/14/26Premier League3:1
  • 02/07/26Premier League1:0
  • 11/01/25Premier League1:4
  • 08/16/25Premier League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Penybont14103130:1133
4Caernarfon Town1592442:1929
5Colwyn Bay1592426:1729
6Barry Town United1591532:2628
7Airbus UK1590631:2227

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.