Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town United: result 5:2
Final score 5:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Barry Town United 35%, Colwyn Bay 34%, draw 31%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedBarry Town United35%
Actual: Colwyn Bay — we had 34%
- Total goals MissedUnder 2.559%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 41%
- Both teams to score MissedNo51%
Actual: Yes — we had 49%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Colwyn Bay
- homeCambrian & Clydach Vale2:0
- homeCardiff Metropolitan University2:2
- awayFlint Town United1:0
- awayBriton Ferry Llansawel0:1
- homeHaverfordwest1:0
Barry Town United
- homeTrefelin3:0
- homeHaverfordwest1:3
- awayPenybont1:3
- awayCaernarfon Town1:0
- homeConnah's Quay1:4
Head to head
- 09/18/26Premier League5:2
- 03/14/26Premier League3:1
- 02/07/26Premier League1:0
- 11/01/25Premier League1:4
- 08/16/25Premier League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Wales, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


