All matches

Universidad Catolica vs Deportes Limache prediction

Chile, Primera División

VARStats prediction for 8 November: Universidad Catolica 65%, draw 20%, Deportes Limache 15%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
65%20%15%
Universidad CatolicaPrice 1.4665%DrawPrice 4.3020%Deportes LimachePrice 5.4815%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Universidad Catolica65%65%1.541.46-0.5
XDraw20%20%5.104.300.0
2Deportes Limache15%15%6.475.48+0.5

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

Fair price 1.67House price 1.60

No40%

Fair price 2.49House price 2.22

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Universidad CatolicaDeportes Limache

CD Universidad Católica 65%, Club Deportes Limache 15%. The safest is “CD Universidad Católica or draw” at 85%.

CD Universidad Católica 65%Draw 20%Club Deportes Limache 15%
1st half
35 · 39 · 25
2nd half
56 · 27 · 17

Prices: 1.46 · 4.30 · 5.48

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Match result: Home

65%1.46
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUniversidad CatolicaDeportes LimacheCombined
Goals scored1.401.603.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Universidad Catolica
  • schedule7 days’ rest
  • 2.1 goals per game at home8 matches
  • 3rd in the table — 46 points from 26 matches
  • 2nd in the league for yellow cards — 2.8 per match16 teams in the league
Deportes Limache
  • schedule6 days’ rest
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 52:0, 1:0, 2:2, 0:1, 3:0
  • Led at half-time in 6 of 10 matches
  • 15th of 16 for shots — 12.1 per match16 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Universidad Catolica

  • homeUniversidad de Chile1:0
  • homeAudax Italiano1:1
  • awayUnion La Calera1:3
  • awayPalestino3:2
  • awayEverton Vina del Mar1:0

Deportes Limache

  • homeAudax Italiano2:0
  • awayUniversidad de Concepcion1:0
  • homePalestino2:2
  • awayUnion La Calera0:1
  • homeCobresal3:0

Head to head

  • 05/17/26Primera División2:0
  • 09/13/25Primera División1:0
  • 04/19/25Primera División2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Colo-Colo26184457:2958
2Universidad de Chile26146645:2148
3Universidad Catolica26144853:3746
4Deportes Limache261241048:3740
5Palestino261151039:3738
6Everton Vina del Mar26107940:3437

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.