Both teams to score
Yes53%
Fair price 1.88House price 1.70
No47%
Fair price 2.14House price 2.05
All matches
Union La Calera vs Huachipato prediction
VARStats prediction for 8 November: Union La Calera 50%, draw 25%, Huachipato 24%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
50%25%24%
Union La CaleraPrice 1.8750%DrawPrice 3.4525%HuachipatoPrice 3.6624%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Union La Calera2.001.87-0.2
XDraw3.933.45-0.2
2Huachipato4.083.66+0.4
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Union La CaleraHuachipato
CD Unión La Calera 50%, CD Huachipato 24%. The safest is “CD Unión La Calera or draw” at 76%.
CD Unión La Calera 50%Draw 25%CD Huachipato 24%
1st half
41 · 41 · 18
2nd half
37 · 33 · 30
Prices: 1.87 · 3.45 · 3.66
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
70%1.44
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUnion La CaleraHuachipatoCombined
Goals scored1.201.002.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Union La Calera- schedule9 days’ rest
- Fewest shots on target in the league — 3.5 per match16 teams in the league
- Relegation zone: 14th of 16
- Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings1:3, 0:1, 1:0, 2:1, 1:0
Huachipato- schedule7 days’ rest
- 4 clean sheets in the last 50:0, 1:1, 2:0, 2:0, 0:0
- Unbeaten in 5 matches0:0, 1:1, 2:0, 2:0, 0:0
- 2 goals or fewer in 5 of the last 5
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Union La Calera
- awayCoquimbo Unido0:1
- homeUniversidad Catolica3:1
- awayConcepcion1:1
- homeDeportes Limache1:0
- awayO'Higgins1:2
Huachipato
- homeLa Serena0:0
- awayAudax Italiano1:1
- homeO'Higgins2:0
- awayUniversidad de Concepcion2:0
- homeColo-Colo0:0
Head to head
- 05/17/26Primera División1:3
- 08/09/25Primera División0:1
- 03/07/25Primera División1:0
- 07/29/24Primera División2:1
- 02/25/24Primera División1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Chile, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.