All matches

Tecnico Universitario vs Cuenca prediction

Ecuador, Serie A

VARStats prediction for 22 November: Tecnico Universitario 44%, Cuenca 29%, draw 27%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

  
1.7LWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%27%29%
Tecnico Universitario44%Draw27%Cuenca29%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Tecnico Universitario44%2.29—
XDraw27%3.66—
2Cuenca29%3.45—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.87

No46%

ours 2.15

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Tecnico UniversitarioCuenca

CD Técnico Universitario 44%, CD Cuenca 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

CD Técnico Universitario 44%Draw 27%CD Cuenca 29%
1st half
34 · 42 · 23
2nd half
37 · 34 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTecnico UniversitarioCuencaCombined
Goals scored1.201.202.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Tecnico Universitario
  • Relegation zone: 15th of 16
  • 2nd in the league for corners — 10.4 per match16 teams in the league
  • Led at half-time in 6 of 10 matches
Cuenca
  • Won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings2:1, 1:3, 2:1, 2:0, 2:0

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Tecnico Universitario

  • homeMushuc Runa3:0
  • awayCuenca1:2
  • awayManta0:1
  • homeDelfin1:1
  • awayLeones del Norte1:0

Cuenca

  • awayDelfin1:3
  • awayManta2:0
  • homeTecnico Universitario2:1
  • awayOrense0:0
  • homeMushuc Runa1:1

Head to head

  • 10/16/26Serie A1:2
  • 08/29/26Serie A3:1
  • 05/02/26Serie A1:2
  • 09/14/25Serie A0:2
  • 05/17/25Serie A0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Guayaquil City3512111238:4347
9Leones del Norte3512101339:4046
10Cuenca351281531:4244
11Emelec351191531:4342
12Mushuc Runa349131239:4640
13Orense341081642:5038
14Delfin351081730:4138
15Tecnico Universitario341132033:4636
16Manta34762122:4927

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.