Junior 2:0 Independiente Medellin, Primera A: result, stats and how the prediction went
Result and how the prediction went
Colombia, Primera AMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedJunior44%
- Total goals MissedOver 2.553%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 47%
- Both teams to score MissedYes57%
Actual: No — we had 43%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Junior
- awayLlaneros2:3
- awayBoyaca Chico1:1
- homeRionegro Aguilas1:0
- awayDeportivo Cali0:0
- homeDeportivo Pereira1:1
Independiente Medellin
- awayInter Bogotá1:3
- awayAtletico Nacional1:2
- homeOnce Caldas0:2
- awayAmerica de Cali2:1
- homeIndependiente Santa Fe0:1
Head to head
- 09/27/26Primera A2:0
- 03/20/26Primera A0:2
- 12/08/25Primera A1:2
- 11/20/25Primera A1:0
- 09/21/25Primera A2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Colombia, Primera A: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.