Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.21
All matches
Junior — Cucuta Deportivo, Primera A
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
64%21%15%
Junior64%Draw21%Cucuta Deportivo15%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Junior1.56—
XDraw4.68—
2Cucuta Deportivo6.85—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
JuniorCucuta Deportivo
CD Popular Junior FC SA 64%, Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo 15%. The safest is “CD Popular Junior FC SA or draw” at 85%.
CD Popular Junior FC SA 64%Draw 21%Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo 15%
1st half
42 · 38 · 20
2nd half
55 · 31 · 14
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total offsides: Under 4.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricJuniorCucuta DeportivoCombined
Goals scored1.001.402.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Junior- Unbeaten at home in 7 matches1:0, 1:1, 2:2, 2:0, 3:3
- Unbeaten in 5 matches1:1, 1:0, 0:0, 1:1, 2:2
- 8 days’ rest vs 4 for the opponent
Cucuta Deportivo- 3 clean sheets in the last 50:2, 1:3, 1:0, 1:0, 4:0
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Junior
- awayBoyaca Chico1:1
- homeRionegro Aguilas1:0
- awayDeportivo Cali0:0
- homeDeportivo Pereira1:1
- homeInter Bogotá2:2
Cucuta Deportivo
- homeRionegro Aguilas0:2
- awayAmerica de Cali1:3
- homeAtletico Nacional1:0
- awayBoyaca Chico1:0
- homeDeportivo Pereira4:0
Head to head
- 04/24/26Primera A1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Colombia, Primera A: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.