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Junior — Cucuta Deportivo, Primera A: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

Colombia, Primera A

2.3LDWDD
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
62%22%16%
Junior62%Draw22%Cucuta Deportivo16%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Junior62%1.60—
XDraw22%4.52—
2Cucuta Deportivo16%6.44—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.43

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4185 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4170 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4155 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

JuniorCucuta Deportivo

CD Popular Junior FC SA 62%, Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo 16%. The safest is “CD Popular Junior FC SA or draw” at 84%.

CD Popular Junior FC SA 62%Draw 22%Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo 16%
1st half
41 · 39 · 20
2nd half
54 · 31 · 15
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Under 4.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricJuniorCucuta DeportivoCombined
Goals scored1.001.402.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Junior
  • Unbeaten at home in 7 matches1:0, 1:1, 2:2, 2:0, 3:3
  • 8 days’ rest vs 4 for the opponent
  • One win in the last 5 matches2:3, 1:1, 1:0, 0:0, 1:1
Cucuta Deportivo
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 50:2, 1:3, 1:0, 1:0, 4:0

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Junior

  • awayLlaneros2:3
  • awayBoyaca Chico1:1
  • homeRionegro Aguilas1:0
  • awayDeportivo Cali0:0
  • homeDeportivo Pereira1:1

Cucuta Deportivo

  • homeRionegro Aguilas0:2
  • awayAmerica de Cali1:3
  • homeAtletico Nacional1:0
  • awayBoyaca Chico1:0
  • homeDeportivo Pereira4:0

Head to head

  • 04/24/26Primera A1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2America de Cali37208957:3268
3Independiente Santa Fe391615858:4163
4Junior4216121461:5560
5Once Caldas381416854:4358
6Deportivo Cali351512844:2657
7Deportes Tolima3915121249:4057
8Millonarios351313955:3752
9Bucaramanga351215851:3651
10Independiente Medellin351471449:4849
11Rionegro Aguilas3512121141:4548
12Inter Bogotá3811151249:5848
13Pasto371371740:5246
14Llaneros3610121436:4342
15Cucuta Deportivo359101640:5937
16Alianza Valledupar358111629:5435
17Fortaleza CEIF356161339:5134

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.