Platense vs Lobos UPNFM: result 0:2
Final score 0:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Platense 53%, draw 26%, Lobos UPNFM 21%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedPlatense53%
Actual: Lobos UPNFM — we had 21%
- Total goals MissedOver 2.551%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 49%
- Both teams to score MissedYes53%
Actual: No — we had 47%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Platense
- awayOlancho1:4
- awayReal Espana3:4
- homeMotagua0:2
- homeJuticalpa2:1
- homeLobos UPNFM0:2
Lobos UPNFM
- homePolicía Nacional4:3
- homeOlimpia0:1
- awayAtletico Independiente4:0
- homeMarathon0:0
- awayPlatense2:0
Head to head
- 09/18/26Liga Nacional0:2
- 04/19/26Liga Nacional4:1
- 02/26/26Liga Nacional0:1
- 10/18/25Liga Nacional1:1
- 08/10/25Liga Nacional4:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Honduras, Liga Nacional: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


