All matches

Platense vs Lobos UPNFM: result 0:2

Honduras, Liga NacionalMatch finished

Final score 0:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Platense 53%, draw 26%, Lobos UPNFM 21%.

1.4LLLWL
0:2HT 0:2
1.7WLWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
53%26%21%
PlatensePrice 2.2053%DrawPrice 3.1826%Lobos UPNFMPrice 2.9521%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.10xG1.08
58Possession, %42
14Shots8
7Shots on target2
10Corners5
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
8Fouls17
6Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 65 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Platense53%

    Actual: Lobos UPNFM — we had 21%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.551%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 49%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes53%

    Actual: No — we had 47%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Platense53%42%1.902.20+10.8
XDraw26%28%3.843.18-1.8
2Lobos UPNFM21%30%4.692.95-9.0

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Platense

  • awayOlancho1:4
  • awayReal Espana3:4
  • homeMotagua0:2
  • homeJuticalpa2:1
  • homeLobos UPNFM0:2

Lobos UPNFM

  • homePolicía Nacional4:3
  • homeOlimpia0:1
  • awayAtletico Independiente4:0
  • homeMarathon0:0
  • awayPlatense2:0

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Liga Nacional0:2
  • 04/19/26Liga Nacional4:1
  • 02/26/26Liga Nacional0:1
  • 10/18/25Liga Nacional1:1
  • 08/10/25Liga Nacional4:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Olancho1237215:1216
6Estrella Roja1244421:2216
7Lobos UPNFM1243515:1615
8Atletico Choloma1241712:1513
9Policía Nacional1232715:1611
11Platense1222812:298
12Juticalpa12201011:286

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.