All matches

Olancho — Platense, Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras

Honduras, Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras

Olancho
2.1DDDLD
—
Platense
1.4LDLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
57%26%17%
Olancho57%Draw26%Platense17%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Olancho57%1.76—
XDraw26%3.84—
2Platense17%5.79—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81

No45%

ours 2.24

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricOlanchoPlatenseCombined
Goals scored0.170.500.67
Conceded0.171.331.50
Corners7.713.710.7
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

OlanchoPlatense

Olancho FC 57%, CD Platense 17%. The safest is “Olancho FC or draw” at 79%.

Olancho FC 57%Draw 26%CD Platense 17%
1st half
45 · 38 · 17
2nd half
34 · 40 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Olancho

  • awayPolicia National0:0
  • homeReal Espana1:1
  • awayAtletico Choloma0:0
  • awayMotagua1:2
  • homeOlimpia1:1

Platense

  • homeLobos UPNFM0:2
  • awayEstrella Roja2:2
  • awayOlimpia1:4
  • homeAtletico Independiente2:1
  • awayAtletico Choloma0:2

Head to head

  • 04/26/26Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras0:1
  • 03/07/26Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras2:1
  • 12/25/25Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras3:1
  • 12/14/25Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras1:1
  • 11/26/25Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Motagua841311:813
5Policia National832310:611
6Olancho82516:511
7Estrella Roja823313:169
8Atletico Independiente82337:119
9Lobos UPNFM82247:128
10Atletico Choloma82156:87
11Juticalpa82068:196
12Platense81256:185

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.