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Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose — Real Oruro, LFPB: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

Bolivia, LFPB

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
56%21%23%
Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose56%Draw21%Real Oruro23%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose56%1.78—
XDraw21%4.70—
2Real Oruro23%4.43—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes75%

ours 1.34

No25%

ours 3.96

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4185 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4170 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4155 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San JoseReal Oruro

CD Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San José 56%, CDT Real Oruro 23%. The safest is “No draw” at 79%.

CD Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San José 56%Draw 21%CDT Real Oruro 23%
1st half
40 · 33 · 27
2nd half
51 · 28 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots on target: Over 9.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San JoseReal OruroCombined
Goals scored1.601.202.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
  • Relegation zone: 14th of 16
  • 15th of 16 for shots on target — 4.0 per match16 teams in the league
Real Oruro
  • Most corners in the league in their matches — 11.3 per match16 teams in the league
  • Worst defence in the league — 57 conceded in 24 matches11th place, 28 points
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose

  • homeBlooming2:1
  • awayReal Tomayapo0:1
  • homeGuabira4:1
  • awayBolivar2:4
  • homeNacional Potosi0:3

Real Oruro

  • homeNacional Potosi1:1
  • awayAlways Ready1:5
  • homeAurora1:0
  • awayUniversitario de Vinto3:1
  • homeReal Potosi0:2

Head to head

  • 07/11/26LFPB1:3
  • 11/01/25LFPB1:1
  • 05/25/25LFPB0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Guabira2386934:4730
10Blooming23610731:2528
11Real Oruro24841238:5728
13Universitario de Vinto23631430:4521
15Academia del Balompie24621635:5420
16Real Tomayapo23551316:4020

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.