Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.92
No48%
ours 2.08
All matches
—
Union La Calera — Universidad Catolica, Primera División
Chile, Primera División
Union La Calera
1.1WLLDL
Universidad Catolica
2.8WWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
32%22%45%
Union La Calera32%Draw22%Universidad Catolica45%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Union La Calera3.10—
XDraw4.49—
2Universidad Catolica2.20—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUnion La CaleraUniversidad CatolicaCombined
Goals scored0.501.672.17
Conceded0.831.172.00
Corners10.010.210.1
Cards2.82.65.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Union La CaleraUniversidad Catolica
CD Unión La Calera 32%, CD Universidad Católica 45%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
CD Unión La Calera 32%Draw 22%CD Universidad Católica 45%
1st half
34 · 38 · 28
2nd half
28 · 41 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Union La Calera
- homeDeportes Limache1:0
- awayO'Higgins1:2
- homeLa Serena0:1
- awayAudax Italiano0:0
- awayNublense1:2
Universidad Catolica
- awayPalestino3:2
- awayEverton Vina del Mar1:0
- homeO'Higgins3:2
- awayCoquimbo Unido2:1
- homeNublense1:2
Head to head
- 04/21/26Primera División2:1
- 12/06/25Primera División1:2
- 06/20/25Primera División1:1
- 07/20/24Primera División0:2
- 03/22/24Primera División0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Colo-Colo23173348:2254
Colo-Colo23173348:22542Universidad Catolica23133750:3342
Universidad Catolica23133750:33423
Universidad de Chile23126535:1942
Universidad de Chile23126535:19424
Palestino23113936:3336
Palestino23113936:33365
Deportes Limache231031043:3533
Deportes Limache231031043:35336
Everton Vina del Mar2396834:2633
Everton Vina del Mar2396834:26337
Nublense2388728:3132
Nublense2388728:31328
Concepcion23941025:2631
Concepcion23941025:26319
La Serena2379734:3830
La Serena2379734:383010
Coquimbo Unido2285931:3129
Coquimbo Unido2285931:312911
Audax Italiano2377926:3128
Audax Italiano2377926:312812
Huachipato22841031:3928
Huachipato22841031:392813
O'Higgins23831228:3627
O'Higgins23831228:362714Union La Calera23651223:3523
Union La Calera23651223:352315
Universidad de Concepcion23641317:3922
Universidad de Concepcion23641317:392216
Cobresal23631432:4721
Cobresal23631432:4721Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.