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Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach Vale: result 9:1

Wales, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 9:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Caernarfon Town 51%, draw 25%, Cambrian & Clydach Vale 24%.

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
51%25%24%
Caernarfon TownPrice 1.4151%DrawPrice 4.4025%Cambrian & Clydach ValePrice 5.9024%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.88xG1.01
70Possession, %30
25Shots10
14Shots on target2
9Corners6
1Yellow cards2
1Red cards2
2Fouls3
2Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 67 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Caernarfon Town51%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.562%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes63%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Caernarfon Town51%68%1.951.41-16.6
XDraw25%19%4.054.40+6.0
2Cambrian & Clydach Vale24%13%4.155.90+10.6

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Caernarfon Town

  • awayAirbus UK2:3
  • homeBriton Ferry Llansawel3:1
  • awayHaverfordwest2:1
  • homeBarry Town United0:1
  • awayCardiff Metropolitan University2:2

Cambrian & Clydach Vale

  • awayColwyn Bay0:2
  • homeAirbus UK2:3
  • homeAmmanford0:1
  • awayTNS0:9
  • homeLlandudno4:3

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Premier League9:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Connah's Quay15112232:935
3Penybont14103130:1133
4Caernarfon Town1592442:1929
5Colwyn Bay1592426:1729
6Barry Town United1591532:2628
7Airbus UK1590631:2227
10Llandudno1551922:2816
11Haverfordwest1551912:2016

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.