Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.44
All matches
BKMA — Gandzasar Kapan, Premier League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
57%23%20%
BKMA57%Draw23%Gandzasar Kapan20%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1BKMA1.75—
XDraw4.41—
2Gandzasar Kapan4.93—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
BKMAGandzasar Kapan
BKMA Yerevan 57%, FC Gandzasar Kapan 20%. The safest is “BKMA Yerevan or draw” at 80%.
BKMA Yerevan 57%Draw 23%FC Gandzasar Kapan 20%
1st half
36 · 41 · 23
2nd half
48 · 28 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBKMAGandzasar KapanCombined
Goals scored0.600.200.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
BKMA- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches13 goals conceded
- 3 defeats in a row1:4, 0:1, 0:5, 1:1, 1:2
- Relegation zone: 10th of 12
Gandzasar Kapan- 9 defeats in a row0:3, 1:2, 0:2, 0:3, 0:2
- Winless away in 6 matches0:3, 0:2, 2:3, 0:3, 0:1
- Only 1 goal in the last 5 matches0:3, 1:2, 0:2, 0:3, 0:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
BKMA
- awaySyunik1:4
- homeArarat-Armenia0:1
- awayPyunik0:5
- homeSardarapat1:1
- awayVan1:2
Gandzasar Kapan
- awayPyunik0:3
- homeSardarapat1:2
- awayVan0:2
- homeUrartu0:3
- homeArarat Yerevan0:2
Head to head
- 08/30/26Premier League3:0
- 04/19/26Premier League1:1
- 11/28/25Premier League0:0
- 08/23/25Premier League0:0
- 05/26/25Premier League2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Armenia, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.