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Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 RB Leipzig, Bundesliga: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Germany, BundesligaMatch finished

2:0HT 1:0
2.5WWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
50%23%27%
Bayer Leverkusen50%Draw23%RB Leipzig27%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.87xG1.29
51Possession, %49
18Shots12
6Shots on target3
9Corners6
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
14Fouls8
1Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 78 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Bayer Leverkusen50%
  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.566%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 34%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes66%

    Actual: No — we had 34%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Bayer Leverkusen50%2.00—
XDraw23%4.35—
2RB Leipzig27%3.71—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Bayer Leverkusen

  • homeStuttgart2:4
  • awayHoffenheim0:3
  • awayOFI2:0
  • homeFreiburg2:1
  • awayLech Poznan4:0

RB Leipzig

  • awaySchalke 042:0
  • homeElversberg4:0
  • awayReal Madrid1:4
  • awayBayern Munich1:6
  • homePSV1:0

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Bundesliga2:0
  • 05/02/26Bundesliga4:1
  • 12/20/25Bundesliga3:1
  • 01/25/25Bundesliga2:2
  • 08/31/24Bundesliga2:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Freiburg851218:1016
4RB Leipzig850322:1115
5Werder Bremen843117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen841318:1613
7Elversberg841316:1613

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.