Atletico Choloma vs Estrella Roja: result 2:0
Final score 2:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Estrella Roja 51%, Atletico Choloma 28%, draw 21%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedEstrella Roja51%
Actual: Atletico Choloma — we had 28%
- Total goals MissedOver 2.578%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 22%
- Both teams to score MissedYes76%
Actual: No — we had 24%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Atletico Choloma
- homeOlimpia0:3
- homePolicía Nacional3:1
- awayJuticalpa2:1
- awayMotagua1:2
- homeEstrella Roja2:0
Estrella Roja
- homeAtletico Independiente3:1
- awayOlancho3:3
- awayPolicía Nacional2:1
- homeReal Espana0:1
- awayAtletico Choloma0:2
Head to head
- 09/19/26Liga Nacional2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Honduras, Liga Nacional: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


