Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.22
All matches
Angers — Nice, Ligue 1
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
33%27%40%
Angers33%Draw27%Nice40%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Angers3.05—
XDraw3.71—
2Nice2.49—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AngersNice
Angers Sporting Club de l'Ouest 33%, OGC Nice Côte d'Azur 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Angers Sporting Club de l'Ouest 33%Draw 27%OGC Nice Côte d'Azur 40%
1st half
26 · 39 · 35
2nd half
31 · 38 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAngersNiceCombined
Goals scored1.001.402.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Angers- 3 clean sheets in the last 50:0, 2:5, 1:5, 2:0, 0:0
- 2nd in the league for corners — 12.3 per match18 teams in the league
- One win in the last 5 matches0:0, 2:5, 1:5, 2:0, 0:0
Nice- Won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings2:0, 0:1, 2:1, 4:1
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 52:1, 1:2, 2:1, 2:1, 0:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Angers
- homeLorient0:0
- homeMarseille2:5
- awayBrest1:5
- homeTroyes2:0
- awayLe Havre0:0
Nice
- awayBrest2:1
- awayLyon1:2
- homeStrasbourg2:1
- homeLille2:1
- awayAuxerre0:1
Head to head
- 03/14/26Ligue 10:2
- 12/07/25Ligue 11:0
- 04/20/25Ligue 11:2
- 09/01/24Ligue 11:4
More matches in this competition
France, Ligue 1: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.