Both teams to score
Yes65%
ours 1.55
No35%
ours 2.83
All matches
—
Rennes — Strasbourg, Ligue 1
France, Ligue 1
Rennes
2.3LDWWW
Strasbourg
2.6LDWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
50%23%27%
Rennes50%Draw23%Strasbourg27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Rennes2.01—
XDraw4.26—
2Strasbourg3.74—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRennesStrasbourgCombined
Goals scored0.001.671.67
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners10.08.09.0
Cards1.01.52.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
RennesStrasbourg
Stade Rennais FC 50%, RC Strasbourg Alsace 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Stade Rennais FC 50%Draw 23%RC Strasbourg Alsace 27%
1st half
41 · 34 · 25
2nd half
38 · 35 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Rennes
- awayLyon0:4
- awaySturm Graz0:0
- homeMarseille1:0
- awayAngers2:1
- homeLe Mans3:2
Strasbourg
- awayParis FC1:2
- homeMonaco1:1
- awayTroyes6:2
- homeLens2:1
- awayMarseille0:4
Head to head
- 04/19/26Ligue 13:0
- 11/02/25Ligue 14:1
- 02/02/25Ligue 11:0
- 08/25/24Ligue 11:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Paris FC53208:311
Paris FC53208:3114
Lille53118:410
Lille53118:4105Rennes53118:910
Rennes53118:9106
PSG52218:78
PSG52218:787
Angers52126:57
Angers52126:578Strasbourg521210:107
Strasbourg521210:1079
Le Mans51319:96
Le Mans51319:9610
Auxerre52037:126
Auxerre52037:126Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.