Both teams to score
Yes67%
ours 1.48
No33%
ours 3.06
All matches
Al Wakrah — Al Sadd, Stars League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
21%19%60%
Al Wakrah21%Draw19%Al Sadd60%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Wakrah4.75—
XDraw5.28—
2Al Sadd1.67—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al WakrahAl Sadd
Al Wakrah SC 21%, Al Sadd SC 60%. The safest is “No draw” at 81%.
Al Wakrah SC 21%Draw 19%Al Sadd SC 60%
1st half
23 · 33 · 44
2nd half
24 · 28 · 47
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total offsides: Under 4.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl WakrahAl SaddCombined
Goals scored2.003.605.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Al Wakrah- 3 wins in a row3:2, 3:0, 3:2, 1:1, 0:4
- 10 goals in the last 5 matches3:2, 3:0, 3:2, 1:1, 0:4
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
Al Sadd- 18 goals in the last 5 matches4:1, 4:0, 2:3, 2:3, 6:3
- Unbeaten away in 5 matches4:0, 6:3, 6:2, 3:1, 1:1
- Best attack in the league — 31 goals in 8 matches1st place, 18 points
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Al Wakrah
- homeAl Arabi3:2
- awayAl Ahli Doha3:0
- homeAl Gharafa3:2
- awayAl Shamal1:1
- awayLusail0:4
Al Sadd
- homeAl Shamal4:1
- awayAl Shahaniya4:0
- homeAl Duhail2:3
- homeAl Arabi2:3
- awayAl Sailiya6:3
Head to head
- 02/22/26Stars League1:3
- 09/20/25Stars League2:2
- 03/29/25Stars League0:3
- 10/27/24Stars League0:3
More matches in this competition
Qatar, Stars League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.