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Al Shahaniya — Al Wakrah, Stars League: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

Qatar, Stars League

1.4WLLWD
  
1.9LWWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
26%23%51%
Al Shahaniya26%Draw23%Al Wakrah51%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Al Shahaniya26%3.84—
XDraw23%4.30—
2Al Wakrah51%1.97—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.60

No37%

ours 2.67

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This prediction opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al ShahaniyaAl Wakrah

Al-Shahaniya SC 26%, Al Wakrah SC 51%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

Al-Shahaniya SC 26%Draw 23%Al Wakrah SC 51%
1st half
30 · 41 · 30
2nd half
20 · 29 · 51
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Over 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl ShahaniyaAl WakrahCombined
Goals scored0.802.203.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Al Shahaniya
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded
Al Wakrah
  • 11 goals in the last 5 matches1:3, 3:2, 3:0, 3:2, 1:1
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
  • Won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings4:0, 1:0, 0:1, 1:0

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Al Shahaniya

  • awayAl Ahli Doha2:1
  • homeAl Sadd0:4
  • homeAl Arabi0:6
  • homeLusail1:0
  • awayAl Duhail1:1

Al Wakrah

  • awayAl Duhail1:3
  • homeAl Arabi3:2
  • awayAl Ahli Doha3:0
  • homeAl Gharafa3:2
  • awayAl Shamal1:1

Head to head

  • 01/29/26Stars League0:4
  • 08/29/25Stars League0:1
  • 01/31/25Stars League1:0
  • 08/23/24Stars League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Al Rayyan843111:815
4Al Arabi834116:813
5Al Wakrah832314:1611
6Al Shahaniya831410:2010
7Lusail823310:99
8Al Shamal823313:179

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.