Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.33
All matches
—
Al Arabi — Al Rayyan, Stars League
Qatar, Stars League
Al Arabi
2.0WDWDD
Al Rayyan
2.6WWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
28%21%50%
Al Arabi28%Draw21%Al Rayyan50%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Arabi3.57—
XDraw4.65—
2Al Rayyan1.98—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1377 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1376 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1368 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al ArabiAl Rayyan
Al Arabi SC 28%, Al Rayyan SC 50%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Al Arabi SC 28%Draw 21%Al Rayyan SC 50%
1st half
21 · 40 · 39
2nd half
26 · 38 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl ArabiAl RayyanCombined
Goals scored1.001.502.50
Conceded0.500.330.83
Corners13.86.810.3
Cards2.52.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Al Arabi
- awayAl Sadd3:2
- homeQatar SC0:0
- awayAl Sailiya2:0
- awayAl Duhail1:1
- homeAl Shamal2:2
Al Rayyan
- awayQatar SC3:0
- homeAl Ahli Doha3:0
- homeAl Duhail1:1
- awayAl Wakrah2:1
- homeLusail1:0
Head to head
- 04/27/26Stars League0:4
- 12/28/25Stars League2:2
- 02/27/25Stars League1:2
- 09/26/24Stars League2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Al Rayyan541010:213
Al Rayyan541010:2132
Al Sadd540121:1012
Al Sadd540121:10123
Al Duhail52309:39
Al Duhail52309:394Al Arabi52308:59
Al Arabi52308:595
Al Shamal522110:108
Al Shamal522110:1086
Al Ahli Doha521210:97
Al Ahli Doha521210:97Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.