All matches

Al Duhail — Al Wakrah, Stars League

Qatar, Stars League

Al Duhail
2.6WDDDW
—
Al Wakrah
1.7WDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
58%20%21%
Al Duhail58%Draw20%Al Wakrah21%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Duhail58%1.71—
XDraw20%4.88—
2Al Wakrah21%4.74—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.83

No45%

ours 2.21

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al DuhailAl Wakrah

Al Duhail SC 58%, Al Wakrah SC 21%. The safest is “Al Duhail SC or draw” at 78%.

Al Duhail SC 58%Draw 20%Al Wakrah SC 21%
1st half
39 · 38 · 23
2nd half
44 · 39 · 17
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl DuhailAl WakrahCombined
Goals scored1.170.832.00
Conceded0.501.502.00
Corners11.39.510.4
Cards2.82.04.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

Al Duhail

  • awayAl Shamal4:0
  • homeAl Shahaniya1:1
  • awayAl Rayyan1:1
  • homeAl Arabi1:1
  • homeAl Sailiya2:0

Al Wakrah

  • homeAl Gharafa3:2
  • awayAl Shamal1:1
  • awayLusail0:4
  • homeAl Rayyan1:2
  • homeQatar SC2:2

Head to head

  • 01/15/26Stars League2:0
  • 08/23/25Stars League0:1
  • 02/07/25Stars League2:0
  • 09/14/24Stars League2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Al Sadd440019:712
2Al Rayyan43107:210
3Al Duhail52309:39
4Al Shamal522110:108
5Al Arabi41305:36
6Lusail41217:45
7Al Wakrah51227:115
8Al Shahaniya41127:94
9Al Ahli Doha41125:94

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.