Both teams to score
Yes61%
Fair price 1.64
No39%
Fair price 2.56
All matches
Mechelen vs Club Brugge prediction
VARStats prediction for 21 November: Club Brugge 68%, draw 19%, Mechelen 13%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
13%19%68%
Mechelen13%Draw19%Club Brugge68%
Club Brugge play in the Champions League in 4 days. Squad rotation is possible — check the line-ups about an hour before kick-off.
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Mechelen7.58—
XDraw5.24—
2Club Brugge1.48—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MechelenClub Brugge
YR KV Mechelen 13%, Club Brugge KV 68%. The safest is “Club Brugge KV or draw” at 86%.
YR KV Mechelen 13%Draw 19%Club Brugge KV 68%
1st half
18 · 32 · 49
2nd half
21 · 33 · 46
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMechelenClub BruggeCombined
Goals scored1.003.604.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Mechelen- schedule14 days’ rest
Club Brugge- schedule13 days’ rest
- 18 goals in the last 5 matches4:2, 3:2, 3:0, 4:3, 4:1
- 7 wins in a row4:2, 3:2, 3:0, 4:3, 4:1
- League leaders — 27 points from 10 matches
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Mechelen
- homeGenk1:0
- homeSint-Truiden4:3
- awayLommel United0:0
- homeAnderlecht0:1
- homeWesterlo0:4
Club Brugge
- awayZulte-Waregem4:2
- homeSint-Truiden3:2
- homeLens3:0
- awayInter Milan4:3
- awayLa Louviere4:1
Head to head
- 05/21/26Pro League2:2
- 04/22/26Pro League1:6
- 03/22/26Pro League1:4
- 08/01/25Pro League2:1
- 12/07/24Pro League1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Belgium, Pro League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.