Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.14
All matches
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Lommel United — Gent, Pro League
Belgium, Pro League
Lommel United
1.8DLLWW
Gent
2.3WDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%27%35%
Lommel United38%Draw27%Gent35%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Lommel United2.63—
XDraw3.68—
2Gent2.87—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLommel UnitedGentCombined
Goals scored0.170.500.67
Conceded1.000.331.33
Corners11.312.011.6
Cards1.53.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Lommel UnitedGent
Lommel United 38%, KAA Gent 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Lommel United 38%Draw 27%KAA Gent 35%
1st half
33 · 40 · 27
2nd half
29 · 42 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Lommel United
- homeMechelen0:0
- awayUnion Saint-Gilloise0:5
- homeClub Brugge0:1
- awayCercle Brugge1:0
- homeWesterlo4:0
Gent
- homeStandard Liege2:1
- awayGenk1:1
- awayCercle Brugge3:0
- homeOH Leuven1:0
- homeClub Brugge2:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Union Saint-Gilloise761021:319
Union Saint-Gilloise761021:3192Gent761013:419
Gent761013:4193
Club Brugge760115:318
Club Brugge760115:3184
Charleroi760115:718
Charleroi760115:7185
Anderlecht74127:513
Anderlecht74127:5136
Zulte-Waregem732210:711
Zulte-Waregem732210:7117
Standard Liege732213:1211
Standard Liege732213:12118
Westerlo731315:1610
Westerlo731315:16109
Genk723213:129
Genk723213:12910
Waasland-Beveren73047:119
Waasland-Beveren73047:11911
Sint-Truiden722312:128
Sint-Truiden722312:12812Lommel United72236:88
Lommel United72236:8813
Antwerp721411:157
Antwerp721411:15714
La Louviere71157:144
La Louviere71157:144Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.