Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.86
No46%
ours 2.16
All matches
—
Charleroi — La Louviere, Pro League
Belgium, Pro League
Charleroi
2.1WWLWW
La Louviere
1.2LWLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
63%23%14%
Charleroi63%Draw23%La Louviere14%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Charleroi1.59—
XDraw4.36—
2La Louviere7.11—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCharleroiLa LouviereCombined
Goals scored1.500.832.33
Conceded1.001.332.33
Corners10.09.09.5
Cards1.82.03.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CharleroiLa Louviere
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi 63%, RAAL La Louvière 14%. The safest is “Sporting du Pays de Charleroi or draw” at 83%.
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi 63%Draw 23%RAAL La Louvière 14%
1st half
44 · 37 · 19
2nd half
41 · 39 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Charleroi
- homeCercle Brugge3:2
- awayZulte-Waregem1:0
- homeUnion Saint-Gilloise2:3
- awayKortrijk3:1
- homeMechelen2:0
La Louviere
- awayOH Leuven0:2
- homeKortrijk3:0
- awaySint-Truiden0:4
- homeMechelen2:2
- awayStandard Liege0:2
Head to head
- 11/29/25Pro League0:0
- 08/10/25Pro League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Gent761013:419
Gent761013:4193
Club Brugge760115:318
Club Brugge760115:3184Charleroi760115:718
Charleroi760115:7185
Anderlecht74127:513
Anderlecht74127:5136
Zulte-Waregem732210:711
Zulte-Waregem732210:7117
Standard Liege732213:1211
Standard Liege732213:12118
Westerlo731315:1610
Westerlo731315:16109
Genk723213:129
Genk723213:12910
Waasland-Beveren73047:119
Waasland-Beveren73047:11911
Sint-Truiden722312:128
Sint-Truiden722312:12812
Lommel United72236:88
Lommel United72236:8813
Antwerp721411:157
Antwerp721411:15714La Louviere71157:144
La Louviere71157:14415
OH Leuven71155:134
OH Leuven71155:13416
Cercle Brugge70348:143
Cercle Brugge70348:143Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.