All matches

Sint-Truiden — OH Leuven, Pro League

Belgium, Pro League

Sint-Truiden
2.2LLWLW
—
OH Leuven
1.1WDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
59%24%17%
Sint-Truiden59%Draw24%OH Leuven17%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sint-Truiden59%1.69—
XDraw24%4.22—
2OH Leuven17%5.87—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76

No43%

ours 2.31

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSint-TruidenOH LeuvenCombined
Goals scored0.000.500.50
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners7.011.09.0
Cards0.52.53.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Sint-TruidenOH Leuven

Sint-Truidense VV 59%, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17%. The safest is “Sint-Truidense VV or draw” at 79%.

Sint-Truidense VV 59%Draw 24%Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17%
1st half
36 · 38 · 25
2nd half
43 · 37 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Most corners: Home

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Sint-Truiden

  • homeWesterlo0:2
  • awayWaasland-Beveren0:2
  • homeLa Louviere4:0
  • homeUnion Saint-Gilloise0:3
  • awayAntwerp4:1

OH Leuven

  • homeLa Louviere2:0
  • homeCercle Brugge1:1
  • awayWaasland-Beveren0:3
  • awayGent0:1
  • homeStandard Liege1:2

Head to head

  • 01/18/26Pro League1:0
  • 11/23/25Pro League2:1
  • 03/16/25Pro League2:3
  • 09/15/24Pro League2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Genk723213:129
10Waasland-Beveren73047:119
11Sint-Truiden722312:128
12Lommel United72236:88
13Antwerp721411:157
14La Louviere71157:144
15OH Leuven71155:134
16Cercle Brugge70348:143
17Mechelen70345:143

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.