All matches

Waasland-Beveren vs Gent prediction

Belgium, Pro League

VARStats prediction for 22 November: Waasland-Beveren 37%, Gent 36%, draw 27%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

  
2.3LWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
37%27%36%
Waasland-Beveren37%Draw27%Gent36%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Waasland-Beveren37%2.68—
XDraw27%3.73—
2Gent36%2.78—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.64

No39%

ours 2.56

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Waasland-BeverenGent

Waasland-Beveren 37%, KAA Gent 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

Waasland-Beveren 37%Draw 27%KAA Gent 36%
1st half
27 · 39 · 33
2nd half
39 · 34 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total fouls: Under 22.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricWaasland-BeverenGentCombined
Goals scored1.601.403.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Waasland-Beveren
  • Fewest shots in the league — 10.6 per match18 teams in the league
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
  • One win in the last 5 matches1:2, 4:4, 1:3, 0:1, 2:0
Gent
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 50:2, 4:0, 0:2, 1:0, 2:0
  • Best defence in the league — 6 conceded in 10 matches3rd place, 25 points
  • Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 8.5 per match18 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Waasland-Beveren

  • homeUnion Saint-Gilloise1:2
  • awayWesterlo4:4
  • homeLommel United1:3
  • awayKortrijk0:1
  • homeSint-Truiden2:0

Gent

  • awayLommel United0:2
  • homeAnderlecht4:0
  • awayBraga0:2
  • homeAGF Aarhus1:0
  • awayZulte-Waregem2:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Club Brugge1090126:827
3Gent1081119:625
4Charleroi1080221:1224
5Anderlecht1061313:1119
6Genk1043318:1415
7Lommel United1043313:1115
8Westerlo1042425:2514
9Standard Liege1033415:1612
10Zulte-Waregem1032512:1611
11Antwerp1031616:2210
12Waasland-Beveren1031613:2010
13OH Leuven1023510:179
14Mechelen923410:179

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.