Both teams to score
Yes46%
ours 2.17
No54%
ours 1.86
All matches
US Monastir — PS Sakiet Eddaier, Ligue 1
Tunisia, Ligue 1
US Monastir
2.4DWDWD
PS Sakiet Eddaier
2.1WDWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
56%27%17%
US Monastir56%Draw27%PS Sakiet Eddaier17%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1US Monastir1.78—
XDraw3.68—
2PS Sakiet Eddaier6.06—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
This market opens with Premium.
Over 9.5 corners
This market opens with Premium.
Goals and corners — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
69%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1804 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1802 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1794 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
US MonastirPS Sakiet Eddaier
US Monastirienne 56%, Progrès Sportif de Sakiet Eddaïer 17%. The safest is “US Monastirienne or draw” at 83%.
US Monastirienne 56%Draw 27%Progrès Sportif de Sakiet Eddaïer 17%
1st half
44 · 41 · 16
2nd half
37 · 50 · 13
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Under 21.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUS MonastirPS Sakiet EddaierCombined
Goals scored1.170.832.00
Conceded0.830.171.00
Corners7.67.87.7
Cards2.30.02.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
US Monastir
- awayCA Bizertin0:0
- awayES Zarzis2:1
- homeUS Ben Guerdane3:3
- homeStade Tunisien2:1
- awayES Hammam-Sousse0:0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
- homeCS Sfaxien1:0
- awayOlympique Beja1:1
- homeCS Hammam-Lif1:0
- awayAS Marsa0:0
- homeJS Omrane2:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Esperance de Tunis540110:712
Esperance de Tunis540110:7122PS Sakiet Eddaier53205:111
PS Sakiet Eddaier53205:1113
US Ben Guerdane53209:611
US Ben Guerdane53209:6114US Monastir52307:59
US Monastir52307:595
Club Africain43014:29
Club Africain43014:296
CS Sfaxien52216:48
CS Sfaxien52216:48Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.