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Turun Palloseura vs Ilves: result 0:3

Finland, VeikkausliigaMatch finished

Final score 0:3. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Turun Palloseura 38%, Ilves 34%, draw 28%.

0:3HT 0:1
2.5WDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
38%28%34%
Turun Palloseura38%Draw28%Ilves34%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.88xG1.62
61Possession, %39
28Shots13
8Shots on target6
8Corners3
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
12Fouls9
3Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 60 of 100
  • Match result Missed
    Turun Palloseura38%

    Actual: Ilves — we had 34%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.555%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 45%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes51%

    Actual: No — we had 49%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Turun Palloseura38%2.63—
XDraw28%3.61—
2Ilves34%2.91—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Turun Palloseura

  • awayLahti1:5
  • homeFF Jaro0:1
  • homeIlves0:3
  • awayIFK Mariehamn0:1
  • homeSJK0:0

Ilves

  • homeSJK2:0
  • awayIFK Mariehamn1:1
  • awayTurun Palloseura3:0
  • homeLahti3:1
  • homeFF Jaro2:0

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Veikkausliiga0:3
  • 07/20/26Veikkausliiga1:3
  • 06/13/26Veikkausliiga0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6VPS311171331:3840
7Lahti271161035:2639
8Ilves271151145:3938
9Turun Palloseura27881129:3332
10SJK27691229:3727
11FF Jaro27491422:4921

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.