Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.14
All matches
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Oulu — KuPS, Veikkausliiga
Finland, Veikkausliiga
Oulu
1.3LLLDW
KuPS
3.1WDDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
24%23%53%
Oulu24%Draw23%KuPS53%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Oulu4.23—
XDraw4.34—
2KuPS1.87—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOuluKuPSCombined
Goals scored0.000.000.00
Conceded0.170.000.17
Corners5.0——
Cards3.0——
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
OuluKuPS
AC Oulu 24%, Kuopion Palloseura 53%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
AC Oulu 24%Draw 23%Kuopion Palloseura 53%
1st half
27 · 39 · 34
2nd half
27 · 39 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Away or draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Oulu
- homeInter Turku0:1
- homeGnistan1:2
- awayVPS0:1
- homeSJK0:0
- awayFF Jaro1:0
KuPS
- awayVPS2:0
- homeHJK0:0
- awayGnistan1:1
- awayInter Turku0:1
- homeShamrock Rovers1:0
Head to head
- 05/02/26Veikkausliiga2:0
- 04/22/26Veikkausliiga2:3
- 07/04/25Veikkausliiga2:2
- 04/12/25Veikkausliiga0:1
- 06/28/24Veikkausliiga1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1KuPS25139341:2448
KuPS25139341:24482
Inter Turku25139332:1848
Inter Turku25139332:18483
HJK25126739:2942
HJK25126739:29424
Gnistan25118640:3241
Gnistan25118640:32415
Lahti25106930:2436
Lahti25106930:24366
VPS25106930:2536
VPS25106930:25367
Ilves251041142:3834
Ilves251041142:38348Oulu251041126:2934
Oulu251041126:29349
Turun Palloseura2588928:2732
Turun Palloseura2588928:273210
SJK25591128:3524
SJK25591128:3524Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.