Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.74
No42%
ours 2.36
All matches
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Inter Turku — Gnistan, Veikkausliiga
Finland, Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku
3.0WWLWL
Gnistan
2.0DWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
57%24%19%
Inter Turku57%Draw24%Gnistan19%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Inter Turku1.75—
XDraw4.25—
2Gnistan5.13—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricInter TurkuGnistanCombined
Goals scored0.170.170.34
Conceded0.000.170.17
Corners5.011.08.0
Cards1.01.02.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Inter TurkuGnistan
FC Inter Turku 57%, IF Gnistan 19%. The safest is “FC Inter Turku or draw” at 79%.
FC Inter Turku 57%Draw 24%IF Gnistan 19%
1st half
45 · 34 · 20
2nd half
37 · 38 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Inter Turku
- awayOulu1:0
- homeVPS1:0
- awayHJK1:2
- homeKuPS1:0
- awayCopenhagen1:4
Gnistan
- homeHJK1:1
- awayOulu2:1
- homeKuPS1:1
- homeTurun Palloseura1:1
- awayHJK3:2
Head to head
- 07/26/26Veikkausliiga1:2
- 05/05/26Veikkausliiga0:2
- 10/22/25Veikkausliiga2:1
- 09/13/25Veikkausliiga2:0
- 06/27/25Veikkausliiga2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
KuPS25139341:2448
KuPS25139341:24482Inter Turku25139332:1848
Inter Turku25139332:18483
HJK25126739:2942
HJK25126739:29424Gnistan25118640:3241
Gnistan25118640:32415
Lahti25106930:2436
Lahti25106930:24366
VPS25106930:2536
VPS25106930:2536Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.