All matches

Meppen vs SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg prediction

Germany, 3. Liga

VARStats prediction for 8 November: Meppen 41%, SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg 36%, draw 24%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

1.9DWDWD
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
41%24%36%
MeppenPrice 2.2441%DrawPrice 3.7024%SSV Jahn 2000 RegensburgPrice 2.4936%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Meppen41%41%2.442.24+0.3
XDraw24%23%4.253.70+0.3
2SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg36%36%2.812.49-0.6

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes67%

ours 1.49price 1.36

No33%

ours 3.03price 2.85

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4185 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4170 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4155 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MeppenSSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg

SV Meppen 1912 41%, SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

SV Meppen 1912 41%Draw 24%SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg 36%
1st half
34 · 35 · 31
2nd half
36 · 32 · 32

Prices: 2.24 · 3.70 · 2.49

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 12.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMeppenSSV Jahn 2000 RegensburgCombined
Goals scored1.601.803.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Meppen
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 50:0, 4:0, 1:1, 2:0, 1:1
  • Unbeaten in 5 matches0:0, 4:0, 1:1, 2:0, 1:1
  • 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg
  • Winless away in 5 matches0:1, 2:2, 3:3, 2:2, 1:5
  • 4 draws in 12 matches — most in the league16th place, 13 points
  • 19th of 20 for corners — 8.7 per match20 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Meppen

  • awayDüsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 18950:0
  • homeWurzburger Kickers4:0
  • homeHavelse1:1
  • awayHansa Rostock2:0
  • homeStuttgart II1:1

SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg

  • homeHansa Rostock2:1
  • awayRot-Weiss Essen0:1
  • homeWehen Wiesbaden0:0
  • awayVerl2:2
  • homeHavelse5:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Hansa Rostock1244419:2216
12Meppen1243516:1715
13Stuttgart II1243521:2315
15Wurzburger Kickers1242617:2414
17Verl1233617:2612
18Grossaspach1233613:2612

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.