Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.68
No40%
ours 2.47
All matches
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FC Viktoria Köln — 1. FC Saarbrucken, 3. Liga
Germany, 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Köln
WWWLW
1. FC Saarbrucken
WDLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%24%28%
FC Viktoria Köln48%Draw24%1. FC Saarbrucken28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Viktoria Köln2.10—
XDraw4.09—
21. FC Saarbrucken3.59—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Viktoria Köln1. FC SaarbruckenCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.000.170.17
Corners12.011.011.5
Cards1.03.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FC Viktoria Köln1. FC Saarbrucken
FC Viktoria Köln 48%, 1. FC Saarbrucken 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
FC Viktoria Köln 48%Draw 24%1. FC Saarbrucken 28%
1st half
39 · 35 · 25
2nd half
36 · 36 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FC Viktoria Köln
- homeFC Ingolstadt 043:0
- awaySV Meppen 19123:1
- homeFC Hansa Rostock4:0
- awayRot-Weiss Essen0:1
- homeSC Preußen 06 Münster4:1
1. FC Saarbrucken
- homeSG Sonnenhof Großaspach2:1
- awaySC Preußen 06 Münster3:3
- homeFC Ingolstadt 040:1
- awaySV Meppen 19126:1
- homeFC Hansa Rostock2:4
Head to head
- 01/23/263. Liga2:0
- 08/09/253. Liga1:2
- 02/28/253. Liga1:2
- 09/25/243. Liga0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
MSV Duisburg760119:718
MSV Duisburg760119:7182FC Viktoria Köln750219:915
FC Viktoria Köln750219:9153
Rot-Weiss Essen742113:914
Rot-Weiss Essen742113:91441. FC Saarbrucken741219:1213
1. FC Saarbrucken741219:12135
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II741214:813
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II741214:8136
FC Hansa Rostock733115:1512
FC Hansa Rostock733115:1512Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.