All matches

TSV Alemannia Aachen — SC Preußen 06 Münster, 3. Liga

Germany, 3. Liga

TSV Alemannia Aachen
WLDWL
—
SC Preußen 06 Münster
1.1LDWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%24%23%
TSV Alemannia Aachen53%Draw24%SC Preußen 06 Münster23%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1TSV Alemannia Aachen53%1.88—
XDraw24%4.15—
2SC Preußen 06 Münster23%4.40—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.77

No43%

ours 2.31

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTSV Alemannia AachenSC Preußen 06 MünsterCombined
Goals scored0.170.500.67
Conceded0.170.831.00
Corners9.510.09.8
Cards2.52.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

TSV Alemannia AachenSC Preußen 06 Münster

TSV Alemannia Aachen 53%, SC Preußen 06 Münster 23%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

TSV Alemannia Aachen 53%Draw 24%SC Preußen 06 Münster 23%
1st half
42 · 35 · 23
2nd half
32 · 40 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

TSV Alemannia Aachen

  • homeDüsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 18951:0
  • awayFC Würzburger Kickers0:1
  • homeSSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg2:2
  • awayFC Ingolstadt 043:0
  • homeSV Meppen 19120:3

SC Preußen 06 Münster

  • awaySV Waldhof Mannheim 070:2
  • home1. FC Saarbrucken3:3
  • awayVfB Stuttgart 1893 II2:1
  • homeTSV Havelse2:1
  • awayFC Viktoria Köln1:4

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II741214:813
6FC Hansa Rostock733115:1512
7TSV Alemannia Aachen732211:811
8SC Preußen 06 Münster732212:1311
9SV Waldhof Mannheim 07731311:1010
10Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 189573136:710

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.