All matches

1. FC Saarbrucken — SV Waldhof Mannheim 07, 3. Liga

Germany, 3. Liga

1. FC Saarbrucken
WDLWL
—
SV Waldhof Mannheim 07
WLWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
52%24%25%
1. FC Saarbrucken52%Draw24%SV Waldhof Mannheim 0725%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
11. FC Saarbrucken52%1.93—
XDraw24%4.22—
2SV Waldhof Mannheim 0725%4.07—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.63

No39%

ours 2.59

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

Metric1. FC SaarbruckenSV Waldhof Mannheim 07Combined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded0.670.331.00
Corners12.08.010.0
Cards2.01.53.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

1. FC SaarbruckenSV Waldhof Mannheim 07

1. FC Saarbrucken 52%, SV Waldhof Mannheim 07 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

1. FC Saarbrucken 52%Draw 24%SV Waldhof Mannheim 07 25%
1st half
42 · 34 · 24
2nd half
42 · 34 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Over 3.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

1. FC Saarbrucken

  • homeSG Sonnenhof Großaspach2:1
  • awaySC Preußen 06 Münster3:3
  • homeFC Ingolstadt 040:1
  • awaySV Meppen 19126:1
  • homeFC Hansa Rostock2:4

SV Waldhof Mannheim 07

  • homeSC Preußen 06 Münster2:0
  • homeRot-Weiss Essen1:2
  • awaySV Wehen Wiesbaden1:0
  • homeSC Verl 19240:1
  • awayTSV Havelse2:3

Head to head

  • 05/02/263. Liga2:0
  • 12/07/253. Liga1:2
  • 02/08/253. Liga2:1
  • 08/31/243. Liga1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2FC Viktoria Köln750219:915
3Rot-Weiss Essen742113:914
41. FC Saarbrucken741219:1213
5TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II741214:813
6FC Hansa Rostock733115:1512
7TSV Alemannia Aachen732211:811
8SC Preußen 06 Münster732212:1311
9SV Waldhof Mannheim 07731311:1010
10Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 189573136:710
11SC Verl 1924731310:1310

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.