All matches

Darmstadt 98 vs Heidenheim prediction

Germany, 2. Bundesliga

VARStats prediction for 20 November: Darmstadt 98 38%, Heidenheim 38%, draw 25%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

1.6DDLWL
  
1.9LDLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
38%25%38%
Darmstadt 9838%Draw25%Heidenheim38%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Darmstadt 9838%2.65—
XDraw25%4.06—
2Heidenheim38%2.66—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes68%

ours 1.47

No32%

ours 3.12

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This prediction opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4185 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4170 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4155 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Darmstadt 98Heidenheim

SV Darmstadt 1898 38%, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

SV Darmstadt 1898 38%Draw 25%1. FC Heidenheim 1846 38%
1st half
34 · 35 · 30
2nd half
31 · 31 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots: Over 27.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDarmstadt 98HeidenheimCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Darmstadt 98
  • Unbeaten at home in 4 matches1:1, 0:0, 3:1, 2:1, 0:1
  • Fewest shots on target in the league — 2.9 per match18 teams in the league
  • Relegation zone: 16th of 18
Heidenheim
  • Winless in 5 matches1:2, 1:1, 1:3, 0:0, 2:2
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:2, 1:1, 1:3, 0:0, 2:2

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Darmstadt 98

  • homeMagdeburg1:1
  • homeSt. Pauli0:0
  • awayKarlsruher SC0:4
  • homeEnergie Cottbus3:1
  • awayWolfsburg1:5

Heidenheim

  • awayKarlsruher SC1:2
  • homeEnergie Cottbus1:1
  • awayWolfsburg1:3
  • homeKaiserslautern0:0
  • awayArminia Bielefeld2:2

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Kaiserslautern105329:718
5Magdeburg1052321:1317
6Heidenheim1043317:1815
7Arminia Bielefeld1042416:1514
8St. Pauli1026212:1212
9Greuther Furth1033413:1612
10Osnabruck1032514:1711
11VfL Bochum103258:1111
12Hannover 961032510:1611
13Karlsruher SC1032513:2111
14Energie Cottbus1024418:2010
16Darmstadt 98102359:199
17Holstein Kiel1015410:128
18Dynamo Dresden1022612:208

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.