Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.44
All matches
—
Greuther Furth — Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth
1.3DDLWL
Holstein Kiel
1.1DLDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%25%32%
Greuther Furth42%Draw25%Holstein Kiel32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Greuther Furth2.36—
XDraw3.98—
2Holstein Kiel3.08—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGreuther FurthHolstein KielCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners9.014.311.7
Cards1.32.74.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Greuther FurthHolstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 42%, Kieler SV Holstein 1900 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 42%Draw 25%Kieler SV Holstein 1900 32%
1st half
35 · 37 · 27
2nd half
33 · 38 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Greuther Furth
- homeMagdeburg1:1
- awayVfL Bochum1:1
- homeHeidenheim0:1
- awayEnergie Cottbus4:3
- homeNurnberg2:4
Holstein Kiel
- homeOsnabruck1:1
- awayHeidenheim0:1
- homeNurnberg2:2
- awayMagdeburg0:2
- homeSt. Pauli2:2
Head to head
- 01/31/262. Bundesliga2:1
- 08/24/252. Bundesliga0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
Hannover 9662137:97
Hannover 9662137:9711
Osnabruck62139:127
Osnabruck62139:12712Greuther Furth61329:116
Greuther Furth61329:11613
Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
Arminia Bielefeld612310:12514
Karlsruher SC61236:125
Karlsruher SC61236:12515
Eintracht Braunschweig611412:134
Eintracht Braunschweig611412:13416Holstein Kiel60427:104
Holstein Kiel60427:10417
Dynamo Dresden61148:144
Dynamo Dresden61148:14418
Darmstadt 9861145:134
Darmstadt 9861145:134Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.