All matches

Hannover 96 — Dynamo Dresden, 2. Bundesliga

Germany, 2. Bundesliga

Hannover 96
2.4WLDWL
—
Dynamo Dresden
1.5LDLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
52%24%24%
Hannover 9652%Draw24%Dynamo Dresden24%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hannover 9652%1.91—
XDraw24%4.18—
2Dynamo Dresden24%4.23—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.64

No39%

ours 2.56

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHannover 96Dynamo DresdenCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded0.831.001.83
Corners9.710.09.8
Cards2.71.74.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Hannover 96Dynamo Dresden

Hannoverscher Sportverein 1896 52%, SG Dynamo Dresden 24%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Hannoverscher Sportverein 1896 52%Draw 24%SG Dynamo Dresden 24%
1st half
40 · 36 · 24
2nd half
39 · 36 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 12.5

67%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Hannover 96

  • homeVfL Bochum2:1
  • awayNurnberg1:2
  • homeKarlsruher SC2:2
  • awayDarmstadt 981:0
  • homeWolfsburg0:1

Dynamo Dresden

  • homeHertha Berlin1:2
  • awayEintracht Braunschweig2:2
  • homeVfL Bochum1:2
  • awayHeidenheim3:5
  • homeDarmstadt 981:0

Head to head

  • 02/22/262. Bundesliga0:0
  • 09/21/252. Bundesliga2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8St. Pauli61418:87
9VfL Bochum62135:67
10Hannover 9662137:97
11Osnabruck62139:127
12Greuther Furth61329:116
13Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
14Karlsruher SC61236:125
15Eintracht Braunschweig611412:134
16Holstein Kiel60427:104
17Dynamo Dresden61148:144
18Darmstadt 9861145:134

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.