Monza vs Sassuolo: result 2:1
Italy, Serie AMatch finished
Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Sassuolo 62%, draw 20%, Monza 18%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedSassuolo62%
Actual: Monza — we had 18%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.561%
- Both teams to score LandedYes57%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Monza
- awayBologna1:2
- homeNapoli1:4
- awayTorino2:3
- homeCagliari4:0
- awayLazio1:3
Sassuolo
- homeFiorentina2:4
- homeLazio2:6
- awayComo0:2
- awayFrosinone2:4
- homeAC Milan1:1
Head to head
- 09/18/26Serie A2:1
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Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.